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8/25/10--HAMP Fallout Quadruples; FHA Condo Recertification Requirements; Rapid Refinance as Means to Distribute Money Around the Economy |
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Wednesday, 25 August 2010 07:29 |
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I don't know about you, but whenever I've had too much to drink and find myself loitering around a mortgage company's computer server, I feel like unholstering my .45 and opening fire. I guess I'm not alone: WOW Jefferies and other Wall Street analysts have recently pointed out that the effective rate of interest on all US mortgage debt outstanding (about $11 trillion - more than US Treasury and corporate debt combined) has barely budged in recent years at just over 6%. Like a kid looking through the window at candy, originators know this, and that the overwhelming number of households, on average, are paying the same rate they have for quite some time, and funding conditions "for the largest and most important part of the US economy - the consumer sector - continue to be bad. And if a borrower can't refinance, and lower their monthly payment, they tend to hunker down and put the money into savings - which often time is invested by banks into Treasuries. And of course this serves to push rates down even more. |
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8/24/10--Homeownership: Deed of Trust vs. Mortgage; The Definition of "Loan Originator"; New FHA Jumbo FICO Floors; HOA Certs; Revised DTI Regs |
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Tuesday, 24 August 2010 07:22 |
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The interesting thing about "mortgage banking" is that it is not a discipline taught in school to youth. It is not like chemistry or psychology, or animal science, etc., that one can major in. It includes aspects of many different things, like finance, sales, marketing, psychology, accounting, and so forth. The skills and knowledge of a good processor aren't necessarily those of a good CFO of a mortgage company, and an underwriter's skills don't match those of a top loan agent - although both are in the same business. The MBA (Mortgage Bankers Association) has classes in various areas, and many MI companies and investors sometimes offer very specific classes - but it helps to learn a little something about other sides of the biz. |
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8/19/10--Fannie Mae 125% CLTV Product; Feedback on "All Cash" Real Estate Purchases; Updates from Flagstar, Wells, GMAC, Chase, FAMC |
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Thursday, 19 August 2010 07:21 |
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Doctors can be so frustrating. You wait a month and a half for an appointment, and then the doc says, "I wish you had come to me sooner." Hopefully someone waiting to lock in an interest rate on a mortgage isn't hearing that from their lock desk. As one trader said yesterday, "Mortgages continue to implode this morning after getting walloped last night. Buyers are few and far between as banks and money managers join servicers and originators in a sell-a-thon." Another trader from BofA said that "mortgages went out like the garbage". The trader is talking about mortgage rates/prices compared to Treasury rates/prices, but you can catch the gist of the mood yesterday. Over $5 billion in mortgages were sold, mostly 4.25-4.625% 30-yr mortgages, and mortgage prices ended the day worse by .250. |
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8/20/10--Homeowner Confidence Declines; NY Fed Discusses the TBA MBS Market; Census Bureau Shares Housing Data |
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Friday, 20 August 2010 07:47 |
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"An economist is an expert who will know tomorrow why the things he predicted yesterday didn't happen today." Is that a great quote? At the start of the year, not only were the smartest guys in the room talking about how mortgage rates would go up when the Fed ended their $1.2 trillion purchase program, but that rates would be going up in general given the expected economic rebound. Of course, neither turned out to be true and every originator can't believe their good fortune by experiencing yet another refi boom, assuming their rolodex has borrowers with equity and decent credit. |
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8/13/10--Mixed Feedback on Buybacks; More Home Buyers Paying with Cash; Fannie Mae Seller Guide Update; Commercial MBS Deal |
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Friday, 13 August 2010 07:05 |
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I wrote about buybacks yesterday, basically saying that the problem is on the rise. I received some comments about my buyback information yesterday. An underwriter wrote and said, "It is ridiculous out here. Recently we were asked to buy back an 11-year old loan! The borrower was not making his payments, and the agency found some ancient flaw in the documentation to 'hang their hat on'. And now they are shoving stated income loans back at us, after forensically documenting the income - with the flaw being that in the past, stated income loans were not supposed to have their income documented! How do we trust the guidelines that we're using now if they're going to be second guessed years down the road? |
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